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Department stores’ decade of decline

The heyday is over. The question for department stores now is whether there will be a new day.

Certainly, the pandemic has made that already sticky question all the more difficult to answer. But many retailers in the space had been trying. Early this year, for example, Macy’s inched toward rehabilitation as it outlined plans to get away from so many enclosed malls, close more than 100 stores and improve its private labels. Late last year, Nordstrom made strides executing its vision for a 21st century department store when it put the finishing touches on its retail ecosystem in New York City. Now, forced to institute layoffs and take on new debt, they and many others are just hoping to hang on through the holidays.

Yet the pandemic, as devastating as it’s been to people’s lives and livelihoods, didn’t provoke the current existential crisis for these retailers. That came earlier, through consolidation and over-expansion — especially at Macy’s, which broke several cities’ hearts when it took over and renamed their local department stores as with Chicago’s beloved Marshall Field’s in the Loop 14 years ago. E-commerce is a factor, but by now, department stores are e-commerce players too. More devastating have been the declines — possibly all related of the middle class, the mall and the need to dress up for work or occasions. 

The Great Recession was technically over by 2010, but retail has never been the same since. And the last 10 years have been especially brutal to department stores. The following timeline provides a few snapshots of how things have gone.

Department stores in the last decade

2010

Things are looking up for most department stores as they recoup from the Great Recession.

  • Nordstrom looks back at 2010 as a “terrific year that exceeded our expectations,” noting that it opened three full-line stores and 17 off-price Racks in the period, topping 200 locations for the first time.

  • Sears is a notable exception, with revenue, profit and store comps all down for the year. Still, the company signs a lease in a historic downtown San Francisco building to house a newly energized apparel team.

  • Macy’s boasts that the impact of nearly doubling in size through its takeover of the May Company a few years before came “to fruition in 2010,” propelling it to a national brand through the conversion of nearly 600 stores from regional banners to Macy’s stores and centralization of its operations.

  • Southern retailer Belk, the largest privately owned department store in the U.S., updates its logo and unveils a new slogan, “Modern. Southern. Style.”

  • Kohl’s says it will open 30 new stores, for a total of 1,089 in 49 states.

  • Dillard’s, with a footprint largely in the South and Southwest and a strong private label portfolio, announces a new line of women’s apparel and accessories from Arkansas native Korto Momolu, who unveils the collection at New York Fashion Week. At the end of the year the company acquires a former Target distribution facility with plans to grow online sales.

  • It’s J.C. Penney’s last year of positive net income.

2011
  • J.C. Penney hires Ron Johnson, who enjoys a renowned reputation as Apple’s store guru, as CEO. He takes swift and drastic measures in pricing and merchandising that are immediately controversial with its customer base and investors.

  • Sears wins “Mobile Retailer of the Year” from the Mobile Commerce Awards for innovations like bar codes in its catalogs and online order pickup services, offered at a time when few retailers are paying attention to the channel.

2012

EMarketer expects online apparel sales to help push U.S. e-commerce up 15.4% to $224.2 billion, a rise blamed for lagging traffic to malls and their department store anchors.

  • Macy’s closes five stores, but also opens five stores. In its annual report, the company attributes the year’s performance to “a three-pronged business strategy known by the acronym of M.O.M. — My Macy’s, Omnichannel and MAGIC Selling.” The company says Bloomingdale’s will focus “on an upscale niche.”

  • Sears announces a series of “hyper-local” websites, which contain localized deals beyond the national weekly circular.

2013
2014

The economic recovery continues, but consumers remain wary. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development releases a report detailing how income inequality is rising in the U.S. and is already starker than in other countries studied by the group, a situation some analysts believe is pressuring retailers like department stores that sell to middle-income consumers.

2015

Mall vacancies spike — almost 15% of malls are 10% to 40% empty (compared to 5% that empty nine years before) and 3.4% are more than 40% empty, which one Green Street analyst tells the New York Times indicates a “death spiral.”

2016

About two-thirds of all shoppers are spending at off-price retailers and making 75% of apparel purchases there, according to research from the NPD Group, while Moody’s Investors Service finds that growth at off-price retailers T.J. Maxx, Ross, and Burlington will outpace specialty and department stores.

  • Sears sells its DieHard battery brand for $200 million to Advance Auto Parts.

  • Seeing opportunity in Sears’ decline, J.C. Penney resumes major appliance sales after a 33-year hiatus. To save costs, the company also sells its sprawling Dallas-area headquarters campus, with plans to rent a portion of it instead.

  • Nordstrom joins investors for a $100 million funding round in menswear startup Bonobos; later Walmart buys Bonobos, but Nordstrom develops a merchandise-free store concept similar to Bonobos Guideshops. However, losses at Trunk Club fuel a $10 million loss in Nordstrom’s third quarter, prompting a $197 million write-down on that business, and, soon after, the founder exits.

  • Stein Mart founder Jay Stein steps down as CEO.

  • Also announcing plans to step down is Macy’s CEO Terry Lundgren, who orchestrated Macy’s explosive expansion early in the century. He also announces the closure of 100 stores. Later he also casts doubt on Amazon’s ability to handle the logistics of selling apparel.

2017

Apparel sales shrink to a new low of 3.1% of the average U.S. consumer’s budget, down from 5.9% in 1987. When they do buy clothes, many shop on price and eschew department stores in favor of discounters like mass merchants, fast-fashion retailers or off-pricers.

2018

Some department stores begin to take extreme measures.

  • Stein Mart announces it is exploring strategic alternatives.

  • Macy’s invests in retail-experience startup b8ta and acquires quirky concept retailer Story, hiring Story founder Rachel Shechtman as its first-ever “brand experience officer.” Meanwhile, Amazon is taking share in apparel sales from Macy’s, according to Coresight Research.

  • Bucking longstanding department store tradition, Saks moves its beauty sales to the second floor as part of its $250 million “Grand Renovation.”

  • J.C. Penney CEO Marvin Ellison departs to lead home improvement retailer Lowe’s. Joann CEO Jill Soltau, known as a talented merchandiser, is tapped to take the spot.

  • Nordstrom opens a men’s store in New York City, across the street from where it’s building a new flagship store.

  • Barneys closes its Upper West Side store in New York.

  • After years shrinking its physical footprint by 75%, selling off critical assets and laying off thousands, Sears files Chapter 11, with plans to close 142 stores. Among its closures for the year is its last location in hometown Chicago.

  • Lord & Taylor displays its last holiday windows, after first innovating the animated presentations in 1938.

2019

Things get a little weird.

  • Barneys New York announces “The High End,” a “luxury cannabis lifestyle shop” at its Beverly Hills flagship. Months later, after toppling into bankruptcy, however, the department store survives only as a brand licensed to Saks, with plans to close all locations, most immediately.

  • Goldman Sachs loosens its dress code, one of the last blue-blood firms to open the door to “business casual,” further imperiling sales of men’s suits.

  • HBC sells Lord & Taylor’s Manhattan flagship to coworking startup WeWork for $850 million; the building is in Amazon’s hands within two years. The Canadian department store conglomerate later sells Lord & Taylor itself to apparel rental site Le Tote for $100 million. HBC also shuts its specialty home stores in Canada and announces a 20-store cut to Saks Off 5th’s off-price fleet.

  • Remnants of “old” Sears battle post-bankruptcy “new” Sears in court.

  • After scaling down the project, Neiman Marcus opens its first New York store at the new Hudson Yards development on the city’s West Side.

  • Nordstrom stops reporting store comps, a metric analysts use to assess a retailer’s strength. Executives also tell analysts that its merchandise-free Local concept — which serves as a hub for returns, e-commerce pickup, and services like tailoring — is its future. The company opens two Locals in New York just ahead of the October debut of its first flagship in the city.

  • Macy’s explores capping its Herald square flagship in New York with an office tower. Under pressure from activist investors, Macy’s pockets millions after selling off some of its best stores, including its Minneapolis flagship.

  • Macy’s and J.C. Penney both announce partnerships with apparel resale site ThredUp.

  • J.C. Penney pulls the plug on sales of furniture and major appliances.

2020

Several department stores report holiday comp declines in a season notable for its markdowns, but that is quickly overshadowed by the arrival of the COVID-19 pandemic to the U.S. Supply chains are roiled and department stores, with other nonessential retailers, are forced to temporarily close their doors for weeks as public health officials scramble to contain the coronavirus.

  • Nordstrom pilots its own resale business at its New York store in January.

  • In February, Macy’s says it will close 125 stores as it embarks on its Polaris turnaround strategy and suffers the first of several downgrades.

  • Saks owner HBC finally goes private after months of negotiations. The company turns to a Nordstrom Rack veteran to lead its Saks Off 5th off-price business.

  • Coresight finds that 70% of apparel consumers buy from Amazon, which is taking share from Macy’s, Walmart and Target, among others.

  • Beginning in March, department stores of all stripes institute mass furloughs and pull various financial levers as the coronavirus pandemic takes a toll. Credit Suisse analysts deem department stores the “worst positioned” in retail to survive the pandemic’s challenges, “due to high debt levels, and low mixes of discretionary costs to cut (most have already had several rounds of cost cuts).”

  • Dillard’s receives blowback for its resistance to closing stores.

  • Green Street in April says the disease outbreak contracted a five-to 10-year trend of department stores exiting as mall anchors to the point where a little more than half of U.S. mall-based department stores could close for good by the end of 2021.

  • J.C. Penney files for bankruptcy.

  • Neiman Marcus files for bankruptcy and exits fairly quickly. The company won’t reopen its Hudson Yards store and six other locations nationwide. Earlier the company closed almost all off-price Last Call stores to focus on luxury.

  • Lord & Taylor files for bankruptcy and, with no buyer in sight, liquidates all stores.

  • Stage Stores files for bankruptcy, with plans to liquidate.

  • Stein Mart files for bankruptcy.

  • Forbes reports that Belk can’t pay vendors.

  • Macy’s Polaris plans are put on ice as the pandemic disrupts business, and later the retailer says it will lay off nearly 4,000 corporate employees, including Story founder Rachel Shechtman. Macy’s reduces its Thanksgiving Day parade to a television-only event in Herald Square in place of its traditional blocks-long procession.

  • Nordstrom says it will permanently close 16 full-line stores and its three Jeffrey specialty stores.

  • Macy’s is dropped from the S&P 500 in April. When Kohl’s is dropped in September, it brings the number of department stores listed on that stock market index to zero. As Kohl’s is ejected in September, online marketplace Etsy is added.

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